Monday, October 20, 2008
Electoral College Prediction
This is a very different prediction than what the polls show.
My explanation?
North Carolina and Virginia will very heavily experience the 'Wilder Effect'.
Florida is Republican when push comes to shove.
The same can be said about Missouri, at least in Presidential elections.
Ohio could go Democrat, but I doubt it. Social conservatives will vote where their conscience tells them to.
Nevada has too many Mormons. They vote for Harry Reid because he is a Mormon. Obama is not.
None of this matters, however, because I am fairly comfortable that Obama will win Colorado, making the election:
Obama - 273
McCain - 265
And that's the best case scenario I can calculate for Senator McCain. I'm looking for a place to weep on Election Day.
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